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2024-12-13 05:36:54

Robusta coffee futures in London rose more than 3% to $5,288 a ton.The bets on the Fed's interest rate cuts have increased substantially, driven by Morgan Stanley's blessing. With Morgan Stanley's blessing, the scale of bets on the Fed's interest rate cuts in December and January has increased significantly. The number of January and February contracts held by traders soared on Friday. Morgan Stanley strategists suggested buying the February contract in a report. "We believe that investors should prepare for the increase in the implied probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut at the FOMC meeting on January 29th," the strategist led by Matthew Hornbach said in a report. Suggested methods for this layout include buying February federal funds contracts and receiving overnight index swap rates corresponding to the January meeting, they wrote.The wholesale inventory in the United States rebounded slightly in October, and the wholesale inventory in the United States rebounded moderately in October due to the slight increase in durable goods inventory. According to published data, wholesale inventories increased by 0.2% in October. As enterprises hoard goods for fear of tariff increase, inventories may increase in the coming months. In terms of breakdown, the inventory of durable goods increased slightly by 0.1%, boosted by the inventory of furniture, professional equipment and wood wholesalers. However, automobile inventory decreased by 0.1% and electrical inventory decreased by 1.0%. The inventory of non-durable goods increased by 0.3%, and the inventory of groceries and medicines increased strongly. Wholesale sales decreased by 0.1% in October after increasing by 0.5% in September. According to the sales speed in October, it may take wholesalers 1.34 months to clear the shelves, which is the same as that in September.


Report: Argentina's oil production is expected to rank among the top three in South America, and Argentina's oil production is expected to surpass Colombia, thus becoming the third largest oil producer in South America (after Brazil and Venezuela). Supported by the mercantilist policy of President Millay's government and other factors, the mining activities in Vaca Muerta shale oil producing area in Argentina have been accelerated. According to the us energy information administration (EIA), shale oil accounts for about 60% of Argentine oil production, and the overall oil production is expected to hit a new high in recent more than 20 years. On the other hand, the green energy plan has caused Colombia's oil production to continue to decline.The Dow Jones Industrial Average just broke through the 44,600.00 mark, and the latest report was 44,599.84, down 0.10% in the day.The random shooting incident in Damascus, the capital of Syria, has killed 28 people. It was learned on the 9th local time that the random shooting incident in Damascus, the capital of Syria, the previous day had killed 28 people. (CCTV)


Pimco tends to reduce its holdings of longer-term US Treasury bonds. The main reason is the rising deficit. Marc Seidner and Pramol Dhawan, managing directors of Pimco, wrote in a report on Monday that they have been "reducing the allocation of longer-term bonds" and prefer short-term US Treasury bonds. As the size of US Treasury bonds soared from $17 trillion before the outbreak to nearly $29 trillion, the concern about the increase in the yield of long-term treasury bonds caused by the increase in US debt has become a flash point in the market. What investors are most worried about is the recurrence of the phenomenon of "bond self-defense forces" in the 1980s and early 1990s, that is, some bondholders aggressively sold US Treasury bonds because of the huge government financial expenditure. Seidner and Dhawan wrote, "It is difficult to predict the sudden reaction of the market to long-term trends. No organized self-defense force is prepared to take action on a specific debt threshold, and changes in investor behavior usually occur over time. " Pimco said that in view of the sustainability of US debt and the impact of potential inflation catalysts on the labor force, the institution hesitated to buy long-term debt.According to preliminary data of the Bloomberg Hedge Fund Index (BHFI), hedge funds increased by 2% in November, the largest growth rate of asset management since March. Among them, the Bloomberg Stock Hedge Fund Index (BEHFI) rose significantly.The US Treasury auctioned three-month treasury bonds, and the winning interest rate was 4.300% (4.400% reported on December 2), and the bid multiple was 2.89 (2.89 in the previous time). Auction of six-month treasury bonds, the winning interest rate is 4.200% (reported on December 2, 4.305%), and the bid multiple is 2.90 (the previous one was 3.02).

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